The latest projection from the National Hurricane Center (valid 9pm CST Sunday) is above. (Click the map for more detail.) The storm is forecast to make landfall near Pensacola, FL around dawn Tuesday morning as a minimal hurricane, though according to Dr. Jeff Master's blog, the intensity forecast remains problematic due in large part to a trough over the northwestern Gulf, increasing shear, and much cooler waters over the northern Gulf. The current track would bring a small inner core of minimal hurricane-force wind and a larger swath of tropical storm force wind to the Gulf Coast from as far west as the New Orleans area to east of Appalachicola and perhaps a hundred miles or so inland.
For updated information, visit the MWN Tropical Weather page and the links therein, especially the StormPulse website.
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