The Storm Prediction Center, issuer of convective watch boxes and outlooks, has placed northeast AR and western TN under a Slight Risk for severe weather tonight. The primary threat, besides dangerous lightning of course, will be damaging wind, with a slight chance of some hail as well. Tornadoes are not expected.
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| Convective outlook for the evening and overnight hours from SPC |
Models do not all agree on the scenario for tonight, but a few indicate that storms will fire on a disturbance in Missouri left over from previous thunderstorms, then track south to southeast through the Mid-Mississippi River Valley towards the Mid-South. If this is the case, storms should be weakening as they approach the metro and SPC tends to agree given that the southern end of the Slight Risk zone is at the TN/MS border. Timing for any rain/storms will most likely be after dark (9-10 pm) through the very early hours of Friday should they occur.
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| Hi-resolution WRF model showing t'storms moving into the metro by 11pm tonight |
MWN will keep you updated with the latest info as it becomes available via our social media feeds listed below and will be nowcasting any storms that develop in the metro.
Now is a good time to make sure you have the MemphisWeather.net app for your smartphone and have activated StormWatch+, which will wake you up if severe weather threatens your location! Download links and more information are also provided below.
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