A beautiful Veteran's Day weekend, then stormy weather to start the work week

A beautiful weekend in the metro will turn stormy, then cold, by early next week. Currently we are experiencing above average temperatures with highs expected in the mid 70s both Saturday and Sunday. Overnight lows will only fall to the mid and upper 50s thanks to a southerly wind that will keep temperatures mild.

A strong cold front will begin to approach the metro on Sunday with mostly cloudy skies and strong southerly winds gusting throughout the day. At this time, it appears the front will move through in the early morning hours Monday. It will likely be accompanied by a squall line of storms with strong wind being the primary threat, however occasionally heavy rain will be likely ahead of and just behind the front, roughly from 10pm Sunday through 10am Monday. 

NAM computer model showing a line of storms approaching the metro at midnight Sunday night

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the area just west of the metro in a Slight Risk for severe weather Sunday night into Monday morning  (see below). At this time the metro is not included in the slight risk, although it is still possible we could see a few strong storms after midnight on Monday morning and the outlook could change over the weekend.  Heavy rainfall in a short period of time will also be a threat with storm totals of 1" or more common from this system.

The Storm Prediction Center says areas just to our west could see severe weather Sunday afternoon and night.

Heavy rainfall will accompany the front with 1"+ expected in most areas and near 2" in central AR.

Behind the cold front, temperatures will drop significantly. Highs on Monday and Tuesday will only reach the mid 50s. In fact, Monday's high temperatures will be in the morning and we could experience falling temperatures during the afternoon. Wednesday morning will be the coldest of the next 7 days with lows in the city in expected in the 30s while outlying areas could easily dip into the upper 20s.

Temperatures Wednesday morning will be in the 30s with 20s not far away

The end of the work week will see a slight warming trend as winds turn back to the south. We will see temperatures rise back into the lower 60s for highs and overnight lows not getting quite as cold with lower 40s expected.

MemphisWeather.net salutes our nation's veterans, particularly those residing here in the Mid-South! We are proud to live in home of the brave and thank you for your service and sacrifice!  Likewise, our service to all Mid-Southerners is to keep you safe from and informed about adverse weather.  We'll continue to monitor the coming weather system and bring you the latest via the social media feeds below.

As the Mid-South enters secondary severe weather season, now is also a good time to download our mobile apps for iPhone and Android devices and add StormWatch+ within the app.  StormWatch+ is personalized weather alerts in the palm of your hand! Learn more at the links below.

--Patrick Luckett, MWN Intern

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