Hopefully everyone enjoyed today's perfect spring weather
because it won’t return until the weekend!
Overview
As of Monday afternoon, a dry cold
front was pushing south through the metro turning the wind around from the
north and allowing cooler air to work into the area. On Tuesday into Wednesday, an upper level low
will move out of the Rocky Mountains and into the Plains. At the same time a surface low will also develop over the Gulf
and move along the Louisiana coastline pushing moisture northward. While heaviest rainfall will remain to our
south closer to the track of the surface low, enough moisture will be pulled
north into the metro to bring us scattered showers for the next several days.
The metro will not see any severe weather from this system, but moderate rain is
likely with forecast rainfall totals in the metro ranging for 1”-1.5” for the
next 5 days.
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| Rainfall projections through week's end show more than an inch expected across the metro. |
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| Severe weather outlooks from SPC indicate no thunder (green areas) expected in the metro this week. |
Details
Showers will move into the metro after noon on Tuesday and
continue off and on through the day with moderate rainfall possible in the late
afternoon and evening hours. As the first wave of rain pulls away by Wednesday morning, we may see either a break or just scattered activity
for a few hours Wednesday until the upper low approaches with a
second wave of rainfall Wednesday night. The upper low will move by very close
to the metro bringing us the heaviest rainfall of the event from late Wednesday night
into the day on Thursday before pulling away to the northeast. Temps will
remain in in the mid-50s for highs and around 40 for lows throughout the week with wind chills falling into the 30s during the overnight hours.
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| Northeast wind (top) and cloud cover through the week will keep temps (bottom, shaded) cooler than average. By the weekend, a southerly wind and abundant sunshine will push temps into the 70s. |
A pleasant weekend
On Friday, high pressure builds into the metro with a return
of sunny skies and temps in the mid-60s. Friday night, high pressure moves east of
the metro turning our winds around from the south. On Saturday and Sunday, highs
will climb into the mid and upper 70s making for a beautiful first weekend of
April complete with mostly sunny skies. We may even see some flowers beginning
to bloom this weekend!
Long-range outlook
The second week of April is looking stormy and could bring our first chances of spring severe weather that the Mid-South is known for. We'll have more on this pattern change as the week draws to a close. In the meantime, keep the warm clothes and umbrellas handy for a few days and look forward to a gorgeous spring weekend ahead! We'll keep you updated with the latest via our social media channels and mobile apps (links below). Click here for the complete MWN Forecast.
-Patrick Luckett, MWN Intern
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