Thanksgiving Week Weather for Memphis and the Nation

A mild weekend, and soggy Sunday, is in the books with a cold front arriving overnight to bring an end to 60+ degree temps for the time being. Besides cooler temperatures tomorrow, we'll also have a lot of wind with this system. Gusts increase to 30+ mph overnight and at least the first half of Monday, prompting a Wind Advisory through noon. A shower is possible overnight as the front moves through in the wee hours, but most areas will stay dry following 1/2"-1" of rain on Sunday.

Holiday Week Forecast for Memphis

For the upcoming holiday week, we'll be back to slightly cooler than normal temperatures as highs will be in the 50s with lows in the 30s. In addition, dry weather is expected all week locally, even though a weak cold front moves through on Wednesday. As we get closer, it's possible a slight chance of rain will be dropped into the Wednesday forecast, but for now we're going dry.

Thanksgiving Day looks to be cool with highs near 50, while a warm-up commences for Black Friday and continues into next weekend. For early bird shoppers Friday morning, temps will be well down into the 30s. Next weekend now looks to be another warmer than normal weekend but there will be some rain chances, most likely on Sunday. Highs should be back into the 60s. Click here for the latest Memphis forecast from MWN.

Long-range temperature guidance from the GFS Ensemble models indicate cooler temps this week, then a warm-up next weekend. Graph only to be used for temperature trends, more than exact highs/lows.

Traveler's Forecast

For those traveling on Wednesday to parts near and far, national weather, with the exception of the East Coast, looks cool but decent. A few rain showers are possible across western KY, while rain could mix with light snow in the St. Louis area with light snow north of there into IA and IL.

On the East Coast, a Nor'Easter is brewing but models are still trying to latch onto the track of the storm. It does appear though that areas from the Appalachian Mts of North Carolina through Virginia, D.C. and right up the eastern seaboard to Boston need to prepare for a possible heavy snow event. Most of the system's effects move out by Thanksgiving morning, leaving just scattered snow showers behind. The Macy's Thanksgiving Day parade could be an interesting event if this plays out as forecast and  travel disruptions are likely throughout the region from Virginia to Maine. For air travelers, with many airline hubs on the east coast, the storm could have ripple effects nationwide.

Forecast model precipitation (green=rain, blue/purple=snow) on Wednesday afternoon for those traveling around the country. This will likely change some by Wednesday, but an early look for where trouble spots will be, especially in the east.

Forecast high temperatures for Wednesday afternoon for those traveling.

A look at POTENTIAL snowfall amounts through Thanksgiving morning in the Northeast. These WILL change since it's still a few days out, but provides an idea of where travel delays may result. Ripple effects are likely for air travelers nationwide on Wednesday.

Have a safe and enjoyable Thanksgiving Week! We give thanks to each and every one of you for your patronage and support!

p.s. Remember that StormWatch+ in the MWN mobile apps works nationwide, so if you're traveling, go ahead and set your destination up in the app early this week (especially if headed east) so you can get early notice of any Winter Storm Watches/Warnings issued.

Erik Proseus
MWN Meteorologist

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